After a week marked by significant outflows, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $235 million in inflows in a single day. This renewed interest reflects a possible stabilization of the market, despite geopolitical uncertainties linked to tensions between Iran and Israel.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs attract investors in an unfavorable economic context
Early last week, the situation between Iran and Israel reached a crisis point. In response to the assassination of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah, Iran sent around 200 missiles towards Israel. Fearing an intensification of the conflict, the first hours witnessed hasty sales of assets deemed risky, which caused a decline in indices such as the S&P 500, the CAC 40 as well as in the cryptocurrency sector.
The price of Bitcoin was immediately impacted, with a loss of 6% in the hours following the attack. The price of Ether fell even more sharply, exceeding 12%, while the price of BNB fell by 7%, and that of SOL recorded a drop of more than 14%. In general, the capitalization of cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin has plunged by almost 10%.
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US spot Bitcoin ETFs have not been spared from tensions in the Middle East. The escalation between Iran and Israel has led to record outflows of $242 million on October 1, 2024 alone, marking the 5th worst day in their history.
In total, last week saw over $300 million in net outbound volumesreflecting the disinterest of professional investors in BTC during times of crisis.
Spot Bitcoin ETF volumes
On the other hand, the volumes recorded yesterday reveal an opposite trend compared to the previous week, with $235 million in net inbound volume, a record since the week before the attacks.
In more detail, the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), BlackRock's spot Bitcoin ETF, continues to attract significant capital, with $97.88 million in net inflows over the last 24 hours.
Once again, the Fidelity Wise Origin Bitcoin Fund (FBTC) surprises by outperforming BlackRock, recording $103.68 million in net flows over the same period.
The Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (BTC), still in decline, displays a neutral net balance.
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ETFs may not have as much impact as we think
Despite the return of significant volumes on spot Bitcoin ETFs, the price of BTC closed yesterday down.
Bitcoin price against the dollar
Indeed, although the balance is positive, these ETFs totaled $1.22 billion in volume, while CoinMarketCap reports $33.5 billion in overall volumes.
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This gap highlights that, although these new financial products can influence the price of BTC, they represent only a fraction of total volumes and can show positive net flows even when the BTC price falls.
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Sources: SoSoValue, CoinMarketCap
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