The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has published an update of its global growth forecasts. This would be less than expected, especially in the United States. How to explain it?
The OECD updates its growth forecasts
Last December, the OECD planned global growth around 3.3 %. However, she lowered her forecasts at the start of the year, believing that growth will only reach 3.1 % at the end of 2025.
It is the United States that is particularly targeted by this lowering of growth forecasts. Statesunian GDP had to increase by 2.2 % this year and 1.6 % in 2026. But according to the OECD, These figures should rather be around 2 % and 1.1 % the year after.
It was President Donald Trump's economic war that led the institution to revise his forecasts downwards in the United States as for other global economies. The OECD also notes geopolitical uncertainties.
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In addition, the neighbors of the United States, hit hard by new customs duties, also see their growth revised downwards. Canada should expect 0.7 % growth in 2025. As for Mexico, he would enter a recession in 2025still according to the OECD.
France and Europe in general are also affected by this wave of pessimism. Germany could experience an increase in GDP of 0.4 % in 2025 (against 0.7 % initially planned) and France would see its GDP increase by 0.8 % (against 0.9 % initially planned).
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Source: France Info
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