According to JPMorgan, the potential introduction of spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETFs would not result in a sea change in the cryptocurrency industry. However, while JPMorgan does not see spot Bitcoin ETFs as a major shift, the involvement of financial giants such as BlackRock could indicate a potential paradigm shift.
Finally, Bitcoin ETFs not so “game changing”?
The possible arrival on the market of a spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETF should not be a “ game changer » ; said Nikolaos Panigirtzoglou, managing director at JPMorganthrough a recent report by the financial holding company and largest bank in the United States.
“Spot Bitcoin ETFs have been around for some time outside of the US, Canada and Europe, but have failed to attract investor interest. »
The issue of Bitcoin ETFs has been in the news since BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager, filed its own application for a spot Bitcoin ETF with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), the US financial regulator responsible for manage these records. In the past, several Wall Street giants have tried it, but the SEC never deigned to agree.
However, given the aura and strength of BlackRock, there may well be a paradigm shift in the United States. Effectively, BlackRock’s impressive history reveals 575 ETFs approved against only 1 rejectedwhich made other Wall Street pundits want to try their luck, like Fidelity, Bitwise, Invesco or Wisdom Tree.
On the other hand, bitcoin futures-based ETFs, although initially able to generate some interest, eventually lost their appeal. More globally, this is the general idea of bitcoin exposure that may have lost its luster According to David Donabedian, Chief Investment Officer of CIBC Private Wealth US, interviewed by Bloomberg:
“I don’t think you’ll see massive flows into these spot ETFs. I don’t feel like there is massive, pent-up demand for bitcoin exposure. »
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Advantages, but “rather marginal”
According to JPMorgan’s report, however, the arrival of spot Bitcoin ETFs could have some advantages, although ” marginal “. For example, this type of BTC ETF could bring more liquidity to the US market while eliminating some issues such as securities custody.
The latter could also bring more transparency to the market, since it is better able to reflect the real demand of investors for real-time bitcoin versus futures-based ETFs.
However, the hypothetical BTC spot ETF approval could lead to a migration of trading activity based on Bitcoin Futures ETFs, which would translate ultimately by a decline in interest in Bitcoin ETFs in generalat least in the United States.
Despite everything, the fact that the race for spot Bitcoin ETFs is led by titan BlackRock could augur a paradigm shift. Larry Fink, its CEO, also very recently called Bitcoin “ golden digital “. A qualification far from trivial, especially coming from an individual of this stature and yet hostile to the king of cryptocurrencies in the past.
👉 To go further – The United States is now only 9% of Bitcoin (BTC) trading volume
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Source: Bloomberg
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