While the FED has begun a new cycle of monetary easing and the Chinese authorities have initiated an impressive package of support measures for their economy and their stock market, Bitcoin will soon enter a period where it develops its best performance statistics.
The FED and China in support of risky assets on the stock market
Western central banks, notably the FED and the ECB, have initiated a downward cycle in their interest rates, a factor of bullish support for risky assets on the stock market, including cryptos.
What is interesting is now the alignment of Western and Chinese monetary policies in an accommodating trajectory, a cycle of “ monetary easing “. Add to this the announcements this week from the Chinese authorities of massive support measures for the Chinese economy and the Chinese stock market.
Even if the risks are not lacking (the probability of an economic recession in the USA and the risks of geopolitical conflagration), the fundamentals of traditional finance are therefore increasingly favorable to the upward trend in the price of Bitcoin.
The S&P500 stock index, the benchmark index for Western finance, sets new historical records and the Chinese stock market (stock markets of Hong Kong, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Beijing) is giving powerful technical signals of a bullish reversal this week.
Among the measures announced by China, we must notably retain strong support for the stock market with an injection of liquidity into the stock markets, including a potential stabilization fund and measures encouraging companies to buy back their shares.
The upcoming upward cycle will not be linear like the previous cycle which was based on the zero rates of the health crisis. The fundamental difficulties remain very numerous, but the alignment of Western and Chinese monetary policies should be a sufficient combined factor to reach the 100,000 dollars, my technical target which would offer a good Christmas present this year.
The Central Bank of China continues to deploy an increasingly accommodative monetary policy to support its economy and its stock market
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Bitcoin, the goal of 100,000 dollars can be your Christmas present
Patience, patience, patience! This is what I write every week in the Cryptoast columns and I repeat it to you again today. Only the strategy of “ buy and hold » allows you to make 3-digit % gains on a bullish cycle so you must hold your positions.
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I think the technical target of $100,000 can be made by December 24, 2024 and I am publishing below a long-term graph which recalls the alternation of Bitcoin's bullish and bearish cycles in temporal connection with the four-year halving.
Graph which shows the alternation of halving, bull run and bear market phases of BTC since 2010
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