In a market context degraded by an unprecedented liquidation event, speculators seem to be knocked out, taking their time to return significantly in the market. This situation raises an important question: would this be the right time to consider an organic increase on assets that have shown their resilience despite a difficult context? Among these assets, the XRP, which has demonstrated a certain relative force, deserves special attention.
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We are Tuesday, February 14, 2025 and the price of the XRP evolves around 2.73 dollars.
Our latest technical analysis of the XRP dates back to Wednesday February 4, 2025, while the price of the assets evolved around 2.62 dollars. At that time, the market had just undergone one of the most violent liquidation events in the history of cryptocurrencies.
The hopes of Crypto investors were then based on a rapid concretization of a clear regulatory framework for the sector, accompanied by a proactive strategy of the American government. Although the announcements continue to offer an optimistic vision for the future of the ecosystem, nothing concrete still seems to be really taking shape, which maintains a feeling of uncertainty on the market.
On the contrary, Donald Trump blows hot and cold on the international scene by triggering a trade war around customs duties. This situation arouses concerns and puts inflation issues at the center of debates, which remain at the heart of the American economy. The latest CPI figures (consumer price index) show an inflation rebound in January, an alarming signal for the markets.
However, this data was relatively ignored by investors, The latter preferring to focus on positive developments concerning the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, where advances suggest a ceasefire, or even a process of.
However, other inflation indicators are still expected, including the PCE (personal consumption Expenditures) at the end of the month, which could bring better news. In a context where platforms like trueflation show a significant drop in inflation in February, optimism could grow. However, this decline may only become apparent in official data from March publications, leaving investors awaiting tangible confirmation.
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From a speculative point of view, the XRP token remains one of the active ingredients most popular with traders. In the past 24 hours, volumes on derivative markets have established about $ 7.7 billion, a drop of 7 billion compared to our latest analysis. However, this decrease is partly explained by the fact that the previous analysis had been carried out under exceptional conditions, marked by unusual volatility.
Open interests (OI), which reflect the total capital committed to derivative contracts, have increased by 10 % since the hollow observed after the major liquidations in early February. This increase is notable, but remains reasonable in comparison with the 50 % drop recorded since mid-January, which had completely reset speculation on the XRP.
As for funding rats, the behavior of speculators seems relatively balanced, although the recent increase in prices has started to stir up the appetite of the sellers. Currently, the most attractive liquidity pocket for XRP is in the slice of 3 to 3.30 dollars. If the asset managed to progress in this globally lowering context, it could quickly hunt this area, potentially triggering an impulsive bull movement on this technical target.
Still classified 3ᵉ among cryptocurrencies, with a capitalization of $ 157.31 billion, the XRP confirms its leadership at the start of 2025. Is Ripple's crypto still on the rise?
| Pairs with XRP | 24 hours | 7 days | 1 month |
| XRP/ USDT | -0.20 % | +11.90 % | +8.00 % |
| XRP/ Bitcoin | -0.40 % | +10.50 % | +10.90 % |
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There Weekly witness candle must be crossed
The drop in early February ended the lateral consolidation that took place on the XRP above the $ 3. This powerful movement has not only invalidated the hypothesis of rapid continuation beyond the old historical summits, but it also oriented the daily graphic in a downward dynamic.
This drop did not only affect the daily unit of time. On the weekly graphic, although the XRP manages to maintain its mobile average at 20 weeks and achieves a significant revival, the structure remains degraded. Indeed, a new hollow under the 2 dollars has been registered, jeopardizing the weekly trend. If the token of the Ripple project fails to cross the summit of January 16, 2025, the risk of a lowering reversal on this unit of time would be reinforced.
Currently, the most likely scenario seems to be that of an upward reconstruction, aimed at reinstating the area of 3 dollars and more. However, this attempt could also mark the end of the bullish phase for the XRP.
A downward divergence of the RSI in weekly is visible between the previous summits, signaling a potential weakening of the dynamics. Thus, if a bullish recovery had to materialize, a rejection close to the previous peaks, followed by a relapse under the 3 dollars, could constitute a powerful lower signal and mark a new step of weakness for the assets.
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In the shorter term, the asset manages to keep the retracement of 50 % of last week's lower candle firmly. This witness candle is key for the bullish recovery that seems to be set up. To confirm an increase desire, it will be crucial to cross its summit at 2.78 dollars.
It is however possible that the asset is rejected several times before succeeding in exceeding this level. In this case, it will be imperative to maintain pricing action above 2.29 dollars in order to maintain the upward hypothesis developed previously. On the other hand, if the asset folds under 2.29 dollars, the most obvious objective will be the mobile average at 20 weeks, with an excess potential towards 1.78 dollars (low point of the witness candle already mentioned).
In a more pessimistic scenario, a lower crossing under these levels would require looking for a much lower support, around the mobile average at 50 weeks close to the $ 1, which could then play the role of the last rampart to preserve the upward dynamics term.
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XRP graphic in Daily
In summary, The XRP has a graded graphic both on the daily and Hebdomedary unit. Nevertheless, the 20 -week mobile average has enabled a strong bullish reaction to the action of prices, revealing a possible revival of positive dynamics. To consider reinstateing the $ 3 area, it will be necessary to cross 2.78 dollars. On the other hand, a withdrawal under 2.29 dollars would invalidate the short -term bullish recovery scenario.
So, do you think the XRP can cross the $ 4 in this cycle? Do not hesitate to give us your opinion in the comments.
Have a nice day and we meet next week for a new XRP analysis.
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Sources: tradingview, quince, glassnod
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Investments in cryptocurrencies are risky. There is no guaranteed high yield, a product with high performance potential implies a high risk. This risk taking must be in line with your project, your investment horizon and your ability to lose part of this savings. Do not invest if you are not ready to lose all or part of your capital
Analyst at Cryptoast Research for several years I carry out an in -depth watch in the crypto market to analyze the next narratives while keeping the financial markets to the eye.
Emmanuel Lazaro
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