Bitcoin folds under the pressure of equity markets, in a macroeconomic context weakened by the policy of the Trump administration. A rapid reaction is essential, under penalty of seeing the asset switch to an impulsive bearish phase in a daily unit.
Trump policy leads the markets to a historic decrease
On this Monday, April 7, 2025, the Bitcoin Prize closing the week at 78,300 dollars, recording a decrease of 5.12 %. The pressure caused by the announcement of new customs tariffs imposed by the United States weighs heavily on the markets, which contract with vigor.
The week began in the red: since the fence, Bitcoin continues its fall, displaying a price around 76,500 dollars at the time of writing.
Difficult to anticipate the continuation in a rarely uncertain context, marked by a historical drop in traditional markets. This fall evokes counter-performance worthy of the greatest crash of recent years, with the crisis of the covid or that of the subprimes in mind.
However, major technical thresholds, sometimes on a monthly basis, have been reached on American clues, revealing a possible slowdown in selling pressure. Nothing is certain, however, as the current context shows no sign of improvement and seems, on the contrary, to plunge into what could mark the slow agony of the golden age of globalization.
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In the derived markets, despite the drop started in recent hours, the open interest continues to progress, reflecting an active repositioning of speculators. The financing costs, always positive, bear witness to a dominant bias bias, carried by actors seemingly convinced that a low point could soon be reached.
This positioning could however promote continuation. Indeed, the long positions feed, via their STOP loss or liquidation thresholds, liquidity pockets that the market could operate to extend its downward trend.
On the capitalization side, Bitcoin keeps unsurprisingly its status as undisputed leader in the crypto ecosystem, at the top of the classification with a capitalization of $ 1,488 billion – down 170 billion since our previous analysis.
| Pairs with Bitcoin | 24 hours | 7 days | 1 month |
| Bitcoin / USDT | -9.50 % | -8.50 % | -13.20 % |
| Eth / bitcoin | +0.60 % | -6.00 % | -14.40 % |
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Bitcoin, continuation of the decline or hunt for liquidity before a bounce bounced rebound?
Difficult to wake up this Monday morning: Bitcoin, hitherto remarkable by its resilience, bent down by crossing the support area that it seemed to be consolidated for several weeks. At this stage, it remains complex to determine whether it is a simple hunt for liquidity or the beginning of a real prolonged correction phase.
In a context where the weekly trend remains clearly down, the statistical data suggests a continuation of the movement. The assets could thus seek to stabilize on a new level in the 2024 request zone, located between 60,000 and 73,000 dollars. The top of this area could also serve as a support.
However, the day like the week is just beginning. The fences – and therefore the breaks – are not yet acted, leaving the door open to various scenarios in the coming days. In addition, we will carefully monitor, the mobile average at 50 weeks, the level around which Bitcoin could fight.
In the derived markets, the bias remains, currently, rather bullish. An element which, paradoxically, in a lower dynamic, can promote an extension of the movement to the south. Among the other key factors, the macroeconomic situation is now established as a central parameter: the current lower catalyst stems directly from the historical decreases observed on the American indices.
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If the downward dynamics were to be extended, the confluence between the mobile average at 50 months and the trend line connecting the summits of the 2024 accumulation zone could constitute a strategic withdrawal point, likely to cause a price reaction. This technical area is between 62,000 and $ 65,000.
To cope with the selling pressure that threatens to settle permanently, Bitcoin must imperatively react and close above the $ 81,648 in a daily unit. This threshold corresponds to the polarity zone, materialized by the retracement of 50 % since the rejection of the $ 88,000 occurred last Wednesday, following the announcements of D. Trump. This level of reference should nevertheless be reassessed at the end of the complete formation of the current bearish leg.
The reconquest of this area would also allow you to cross the 7 -day mobile average, now aligned downwards with the averages at 20 and 50 days. This alignment, combined with the rapid opening of Bollinger bands, reflects a clear directional pressure on the daily time unit. To rule out the risk of a lower impulsive phase, the reintegration of this level is therefore essential.
Graphic of the Bitcoin Daily course
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In summary, Bitcoin yields under the pressure exerted by the equity markets, in a macroeconomic context weakened by the Trump administration policy. A rapid reaction is necessary, failing which the asset is likely to dive into an impulsive downside in a daily unit. To stop this scenario, the reconquest of the $ 81,500 is essential.
So, do you think the BTC can reintegrate its $ 91,000 range? Do not hesitate to give us your opinion in the comments.
Have a nice day and we meet next week for a new Bitcoin analysis.
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Sources: tradingview, quince, glassnod
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Analyst at Cryptoast Academy for several years, I have been carrying out an in -depth watch in the Crypto market to analyze the next narratives while keeping the financial markets to the eye.
Emmanuel Lazaro
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