Wednesday, November 29, 2023

Polygon reaches level that last time triggered a 275% MATIC price rally — will history repeat?


Polygon (MATIC) price reversed course to the upside on Could 10 after testing $0.794 as its interim help, thus rising by as much as 25% to $0.99.

The rebound occurred a day after the token slumped over 17% to succeed in $0.787, its lowest level since July 2021, amid a world market crash led by the US Federal Reserve’s hawkish insurance policies.

MATIC price rebounded after present process 5 days of relentless declines, attracting patrons across the similar help level that had preceded a 275% bull run last 12 months.

MATIC/USD weekly price chart. Supply: TradingView

A earlier retest of the $0.787-level in July 2021 and the 0.786 Fib line (close to $0.61) of the Fibonacci retracement graph — drawn from the $0.002-swing low to 2.86-swing excessive — adopted up with MATIC rising to its document excessive of $3 by December 2021.

Subsequently, MATIC/USD would possibly bear a comparable, sharp upside retracement within the coming weeks after rebounding from the identical help confluence.

MATIC fundamentals: then and now

Nevertheless, a lot has modified when it comes to market fundamentals between July 2021 and Could 2022 that could affect MATIC merchants’ conduct.

As an example, MATIC’s price increase occurred last 12 months as demand for layer-2 options elevated on account of Ethereum’s skyrocketing gasoline and transaction prices.

As a outcome, widespread decentralized finance (DeFI) purposes, together with decentralized trade SushiSwap (SUSHI), liquidity service Curve (CRV), and lending platform Aave (AAVE), expanded their operations within the Polygon chain.

The entire worth locked inside Polygon liquidity swimming pools. Supply: Defi Llama

However 2022 has been a dangerous 12 months for cryptos. The Fed’s choice to hike rates of interest adopted by the unwinding of their $9 trillion stability sheet has prompted traders to scale back their exposures to riskier property. Sadly, the prospect of extra money leaving the market has damage MATIC, whose year-to-date paper returns had been practically 65% ​​under zero as of Could 10.

Sadly, the prospect of extra money leaving the market has damage MATIC, whose year-to-date paper returns had been practically 65% ​​under zero as of Could 10.

Associated: 10-month BTC price lows spark $1B liquidation as Bitcoin eyes $35K CME futures hole

“That is a risk-off throughout all asset courses, together with crypto,” Daniel Ives, strategist at Wedbush Securities, instructed the Monetary Instances, including that digital asset traders have “nowhere to cover.” He added:

“Some traders are taking part in crypto like a hedge towards inflation, but it surely’s buying and selling just like the Nasdaq’s Siamese twin.”

Silver lining amid chaos: Meta

On Could 9, Polygon CEO Ryan Watt announced that they’re partnering with Meta to create a nonfungible token (NFT) platform for Fb and Instagram.

Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg additionally confirmed that they’ve been “testing digital collectibles for creators and collectors to showcase NFTs on Instagram,” including that comparable options would come to Fb quickly. The hype might assist MATIC type a sturdy price ground.

However from a technical perspective, MATIC dangers bearish continuation towards $0.615 in Could.

MATIC/USD weekly price chart. Supply: TradingView

In the meantime, a bullish affirmation seems to be much less more likely to seem except the token reclaims its 50-week exponential shifting common (50-week EMA; the pink wave) close to $1.37 as help.

The views and opinions expressed listed here are solely these of the writer and don’t essentially mirror the views of Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, you need to conduct your personal analysis when making a choice.