Bitcoin has price records beyond $ 110,000. However, its volatility records a historically low level. How to explain this situation?
Bitcoin: stagnation above $ 100,000
The logic associated with the volatility of Bitcoin Expresses in a fairly unequal way depending on the direction of his price curve. Indeed, his Historic crossing of the level of $ 100,000 excited investors in December of last year. However, this same price level translated now an unbearable stagnationonly a few months later.
A recently analyzed assessment by the Bloomberg media, as part of an article on Apparent immobility of the BTCblocked in the past two months in a price range between 93,000 and $ 111,000. And what about the first half of this year, with only real volatility a collapse on the level of $ 75,000largely fueled by Donald Trump's customs escapades.
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The Bitcoin course stagnates on the level of $ 100,000
Even The recent BTC record beyond $ 110,000 Finally appears as a failure. This is the reason why investors wonder about the procedure to follow, with a view to a renowned summer period not very conducive to bullish impulses.
According to Bloomberg analysts, the current trend would be The sign of a deeper change of dynamics for Bitcoin. Indeed, it would now offer “fewer profit opportunities”, faced with a return of only 17 % in 2025, which no longer corresponds to the annual – minimal – of the previous 2 years. In question? Volatility to absent subscribers.
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An absence of volatility that questions
In order to support their words, Bloomberg analysts call on Bitcoin volatility index proposed by the Deribit site. A measure intended for Estimate the implicit volatility of the BTC annualized over 30 days. The current result is not good.
Indeed, the curve of this index reveals Bitcoin volatility at its lowest level over the last 2 yearsa few months old. That is, a market that traders anticipate A continuation of stability in the coming weeks.
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Bitcoin volatility index
According to Michael Longoria, chief analyst of the Crypto GSR trading company Recently involved in the launch of the Katana network in Polygon (POL)the reason for this lack of volatility is ultimately quite simple. “” Bitcoin becomes less speculative and closer to a volatile macro asset ». Especially with the arrival of institutional investors and their billions of dollarsrisk lovers, but not too much anyway.
This change helped to mitigate the extreme effects of the market and added an additional level of discipline at prices.
Should we consider the current absence of volatility as A simple cyclic and seasonal effect ? It seems that the reasons are deeper, faced with a Internal dynamic change Developing the Bitcoin market sustainably. But don't worry, There is still a potential from X100 to BTCif we trust the “Saylor Cycle” recently announced by Brad Mills.
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Sources: Bloomberg, Deribit, TradingView
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Passionate about cryptocurrencies and the principle of decentralization for many years, I want to share this experience with the greatest number. I also focus on deciphering the issues associated with the evolution of this ecosystem within traditional finance.
