Today marks “Liberation Day”! Although nobody really knows what it implies, this day could be marked by strong volatility, especially since the crypto of the Ripple project begins to show signs of breath.
All eyes turn to the United States for “Liberation Day”
We are Wednesday April 2, 2025 and the price of the XRP evolves around 2.1 dollars.
Our latest technical analysis of the XRP dates from March 18, 2025, when the asset was evolving around 2.30 dollars. Since then, the official end of the trial opposing the dry to Ripple has been announced, but the XRP has struggled to integrate this new, however major, in its price action.
However, it is a completely different news that captures the attention of the markets at the start of the week. Indeed, at 10:00 p.m. Paris time, this April 2, 2025, all eyes will be turned to the D.Trump press conference about customs prices, after several weeks of uncertainty and tension. Market players finally hope for concrete elements, whether positive or negative.
Since the inauguration of the new American president, the markets have displayed a globally downward trend. Its commercial policy arouses strong concerns, to the point of making a recession fear, even a period of stagflation. At this point, it remains extremely difficult to anticipate the real impact of these decisions on risky assets.
One thing is nevertheless certain: the market was partly covered, the risk was reduced, and part of the negative scenarios already seems integrated. Unless particularly unfavorable surprises, it seems reasonable to consider the formation of a balance point – even a rebound – in the coming days.
Unless, of course, that the recessive fears come to dominate an already largely weakened market psychology.
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The derivative markets concerning the Crypto Ripple show significant signals of a lower bias which asserts itself in the short term. This bias comes at the approach of a major support which has reacted prices since December 2024.
This hypothesis is based on an increase in open interests even though the financing costs are low, even very regularly negative in recent days. This is particularly the decline observed since the pivot of the $ 2.22 which could encourage traders to bet downwards.
Thus, if the support of the 2 dollars continued to play its role, which is favorable in terms of probability, the assets would have sufficient liquidity to quickly reach 2.40 dollars.
Still 4ᵉ among cryptocurrencies, with a capitalization of $ 123.88 billion, the XRP begins to show weak signals.
Pairs with XRP | 24 hours | 7 days | 1 month |
XRP/ USDT | -2.70 % | -13.90 % | -18.00 % |
XRP/ Bitcoin | -3.80 % | -10.90 % | -11.80 % |
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Weaknesses of weaknesses gradually settle
The crypto of the Ripple project remains one of the strongest assets of the ecosystem, but it begins to show some signs of weakness. Last week, she lost her mobile average at 20 weeks and is now struggling to find a positive polarity within the range she has been building since the beginning of December 2024.
Gradually, the pressure intensifies on the support of the 2 dollars, and the current configuration suggests a possible distribution scheme, likely to worry even the most convinced supporters of the XRP. However, the trend remains neutral in weekly, and the hypothesis of a range remains, at this stage, the most relevant.
That said, in the event of a break in the threshold of 2 dollars, the risk of a return to the 50 -week mobile average becomes tangible – especially since the candles generated during the “Bulletrump” (consecutive to the election of D. Trump) reflect a market imbalance still not fulfilled. In this context, the asset could quickly return to the 1 to 1.30 dollars area.
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On the daily graphic, the range is clearly visible, and the trend remains neutral. The $ 2.45 polarity area, a balance of the current range, represents the resistance to be crossed at the end to consider a return to the high terminal, around the $ 3.
The main short -term problem lies in the alignment of daily mobile averages. Those at 7, 20 and 50 days are now downward, and the last pulses have not enabled Haussier crossing.
In particular, the fact that the mobile averages at 20 and 50 days have not crossed up during the month of March suggests that the lowering movement initiated at the end of January 2025 could end up driving the support of the range. If this scenario materialized, the hypothesis of a lower trap would remain possible. In this case, rapid reintegration would be likely, with the minimum objective of a return to 2.45 dollars.
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XRP course graph on a daily scale
In summary, The XRP gradually loses its vigor. Although the support of the 2 dollars resists, the rebounds run out of steam and no longer allow us to envisage a real bullish recovery. The assets will have to either find new bullish catalysts to find strength, or it is likely that the area under the range is soon tested.
So, do you think that the Ripple crypto can revive up the 2 dollars? Do not hesitate to give us your opinion in the comments.
Have a nice day and we meet next week for a new XRP analysis.
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Sources: tradingview, quince, glassnod
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