While more and more households are getting a fiber optic connection, the expansion in rural areas is losing pace, according to a new analysis. The federal government is therefore likely to clearly miss the expansion target for 2030.
By 2030, the fiber optic infrastructure in Germany is to be expanded nationwide – but according to a recent study, the federal government will miss this target by a long way. According to the study, expansion is progressing across the country, but it is losing momentum, as shown by the market analysis presented by the Federal Association for Broadband Communications (Breko). Deutsche Telekom's competitors are organized in the association.
Fiber optic expansion in the area is losing momentum
According to the analysis, the fiber optic expansion rate in June 2024 was around 43 percent, with almost 20 million connections. That was around 15 percent more connections than at the same time last year. Between June 2022 and June 2023, this figure had increased by around 36 percent. The rate refers to streets in which the cables for fast internet have already been laid without a direct connection to households (homes passed).
From the point of view of Breko President Norbert Westfal, the decreasing pace is an early indicator that has an impact on the political expansion goals. “According to our forecast, Germany will reach the goal of fiber optic connections for half of households by 2025,” he stressed. However, nationwide coverage by 2030 is therefore not in sight. According to the association's forecasts, only an expansion rate of between 76 and 86 percent is realistic by then.
Number of direct connections increases faster
While the pace of expansion is slowing across the country, the number of directly connected households, companies and authorities (homes connected) is growing faster. In June 2024, around 10.5 million households were directly connected to the fiber optic network. That was around 18 percent more than in June 2023. In the same period last year, the increase was only 3.5 percent.
In order to gain ground again in the area, a political course correction is needed, demands the association. “In particular, we are calling on the Federal Network Agency to come up with a concept for a competition-compliant transition from copper to fiber optic networks,” said Breko.