Sunday, March 3, 2024

STEPN rebounds sharply after falling 80% in a month — is GMT price bottoming out?

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An enormous downtrend in the STEPN (GMT) costs witnessed in the final 30 days seems to be nearing exhaustion.

GMT’s price has rebounded by practically 35%—from $0.80 on Could 27 to $0.99 on Could 28. Curiously, the upside retracement began after the price fell in the identical vary, which had acted as help earlier than GMT’s 500% and 120% price rallies in March and early Could, respectively.

GMT/USD each day price chart. Supply: TradingView

Moreover, the rebound additional preceded an 80% drop from its file excessive of $4.50, established on April 27, which left GMT oversold, per its each day relative power index studying that slipped beneath the oversold threshold of 30 on Could 26.

The technical help, in addition to oversold RSI, suggests GMT is in the method of bottoming out.

GMT price ranges to observe

Drawing a Fibonacci retracement graph from GMT’s $0.0099-swing low to $3.82-swing excessive leaves the token inside a broader consolidation vary, outlined by the 0.382 Fib line (close to $1.50) appearing as interim resistance and the 0.786 Fib line (close to $0.82) serving as interim help.

GMT/USD each day price chart that includes Fib help/resistance ranges. Supply: TradingView

Due to this fact, an prolonged rebound transfer from the $0.82-support stage brings $1.50 into the eye as the following upside goal, up about 40% from in the present day’s price. Furthermore, a sturdy upside follow-up may ship the STEPN token in direction of the $2-2.50 space, suggesting that the market has bottomed out.

Conversely, a weaker upside follow-up may have GMT’s price retest $0.82 for a breakdown transfer towards $0.54. This stage was instrumental in capping the token’s draw back makes an attempt between March 17 and March 21 earlier this 12 months.

STEPN has a “hype-driven speculative frenzy?”

From the basic perspective, GMT’s bias seems to be skewed to the draw back.

First, the token continues to commerce in near-perfect tandem with Bitcoin (BTC) and the opposite top-cap cryptocurrencies, in keeping with their each day correlation coefficient readings, which topped 0.98 on Could 21, however had subsided to 0.75 on Could 28.

GMT/USD and BTC/USD each day correlation coefficient. Supply: TradingView

So, if Bitcoin continues to battle beneath $30,000, as many analysts imagine, it may take GMT decrease alongside attributable to its constant constructive correlation with the token.

Second, GMT may drop as a result of rising uncertainties surrounding STEPN’s enterprise mannequin, which includes paying customers for exercising both by strolling, jogging, or working with the native Inexperienced Satoshi Token (GST) items.

Mike Fay, an unbiased market analyst and the creator of the Heretic Speculator monetary publication, says that STEPN’s so-called move-to-earn mannequin is neither scalable nor sustainable in the long run.

The analyst cited some core points with the “life-style app.”

First, STEPN has a huge entry barrier for it makes folks purchase its costly “Sneaker NFTs.” However even then, folks purchase these digital points for a whole bunch or 1000’s of {dollars} in anticipation that they might recuperate their investments by incomes and promoting GST tokens.

Many customers have already recouped their cash, akin to YouTuber Sebbyverse, who claims that he earned $219 value of GST tokens simply by strolling quarter-hour to-and-fro for dinner.

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“The best way this doubtless ends is with the final individuals who come into the platform primarily serving as ‘exit liquidity’ for the early adopters when the app’s in-game cost token (GST-USD) collapses,” Fay stated whereas highlighting that the STEPN’s in-house token is already crashing.

GST/USD each day price chart. Supply: TradingView

That may harm customers’ return on funding who paid 1000’s of {dollars} for Sneaker NFTs. So, if the demand for NFTs dries up and incentive drops, STEPN would have bother attracting new gamers to its app, thus dampening demand for GMT, in keeping with Fay. He added:

“STEPN is in a hype-driven speculative frenzy and I am not touching any of this. Not the payout token (GST-USD), the governance token GMT, or the NFTs.”

The views and opinions expressed listed below are solely these of the creator and don’t essentially replicate the views of Cointelegraph.com. Each funding and buying and selling transfer includes danger, you need to conduct your individual analysis when making a choice.