The approach: How AI makes the prediction
To ensure the predictions are accurate and fair, several leading AI models were quizzed in the same way. The models – including ChatGPT, Microsoft CoPilot, Perplexity and Groq – were asked to predict which team will win Euro 2024 based on historical player performance statistics, previous tournament record and current news coverage.
The AI models in comparison
When asked directly who will be European champion in 2024, almost all chatbots hesitate and explain that the European Championship is still to come and therefore no clear predictions can be made. Only the AI start-up Perplexity AI immediately compares all well-known websites, such as Sport1 and Kicker, and gives a clear answer.
If you tell the other AI models to initiate a search, they are also ready to respond. In milliseconds, all websites on the Internet (including international websites) are searched and analyzed.
Nadine Noppinger has been working at BurdaForward as a content and project manager since 2018 and has specialized in the implementation of AI in the company. Her innovative spirit and enthusiasm for experimenting with various AI models have made her a specialist in this field. Noppinger's work is characterized by a future-oriented perspective that redefines both the technological limits and the possibilities of AI in digital publishing.
All models show a clear trend in favour of France
The team's recent successes and the strategic depth of the squad were highlighted as decisive factors, with the names of talented players such as Kylian Mbappé and Antoine Griezmann being cited. England and Germany (knocked out in the quarter-finals against Spain) were also named as favourites.
Why all models choose France
The agreement between the models raises an interesting question: is it the algorithms or the actual superiority of the French team? The answer probably lies in a combination of both. The AI models are trained to analyze large amounts of data and recognize patterns that are difficult for humans to understand. France's impressive past performances, coupled with strong current form, make them a logical favorite.
While AI models provide impressive predictions, the outcome of a football tournament always remains uncertain. Injuries, tactical changes and the unexpected emergence of underdogs can have a decisive influence on the course of the tournament. Nevertheless, the AI predictions offer an exciting perspective and show how far the technology is capable of analyzing complex scenarios.
For football fans, this means that they can look forward to an exciting tournament in which artificial intelligence will prove its predictions. Whether the AI will be right remains to be seen – but one thing is certain: the discussions and debates about the next European champion are more exciting than ever.