Nun it counts for the German national football team. At the World Cup in Qatar, she has her first “final”. The second game against Spain didn’t end because Costa Rica had previously beaten Japan. But now it means for the selection of national coach Hansi Flick: If you lose against Costa Rica, the tournament is over. The World Cup forecast by Daniel Memmert and Fabian Wunderlich shows how great the German chances of success are and also what the other games in Qatar look like this Thursday.
First (4:00 p.m. CET in the FAZ live ticker for the soccer World Cup and on MagentaTV) it is the turn of the teams in Group F. There, Morocco will face Canada, who have already been eliminated after two defeats. The position of the two teams in these finals is also reflected in the data. The Africans were there in 2018, failed in the preliminary round, but Canada did not qualify at all. Morocco is also ahead in the world rankings (22 to 41) and in terms of market values (9.8 to 7.2 million euros). This is also reflected in the probability of winning, which is based on the values of the betting market. It is 45 percent.
At the same time (4 p.m. CET in the FAZ live ticker for the soccer World Cup, on ARD and on MagentaTV), it will be even more exciting, not only because a prominent team may be eliminated after the duel between Croatia and Belgium. Some were even in the final in 2018, the others finished third. In the world rankings, the Belgians are ahead (rank 2 to 12), also in terms of market values (21.7 to 14.5 million euros). However, the odds of winning are very balanced. 35.5 percent speak for a Croatian victory, 28.4 for a draw and 36.1 for Belgium’s success.
In the evening games (8 p.m. CET in the FAZ live ticker for the soccer World Cup, on ARD and on MagentaTV), things will get serious for Germany against Costa Rica. Anything but a win means it’s over. But it looks good. Four and a half years ago, both failed in the preliminary round. Otherwise, Flick’s selection is ahead: in the world rankings (11th to 31st place) and in terms of market values (34.1 to 0.7 million euros). The balance of power is also reflected in the probabilities. According to this, the German national team wins the game 87.1 percent and will probably progress.
At the same time (8 p.m. CET in the FAZ live ticker for the World Cup and on MagentaTV), Spain meets Japan. The outcome of the game also depends on whether the Germans advance. The data speak for the Iberians, even if, like their opponents on Thursday, they were eliminated in the round of 16 in 2018. Spain is ahead in the world rankings (7th place to 24th place) and in market values (34.7 to 5.9 million euros). This also applies to the probability of a win. 67.5 percent speak clearly for the Selección.